Hurricane Gustav Projected Path
Only in August and we already have our seventh named Atlantic Hurricane Season storm. The latest i Hurricane Gustav. Gustav suddenly developed just north of South America, yesterday, and is projected to intensify quite a bit over the next several days, leading up to the Labor day weekend. All eyes along the Gulf coast of the US should remain on Gustav, as it has the potential of being an incredibly dangerous Hurricane. Now, what is Hurricane Gustav’s Projected path?
Although the computer models remain all over the place this morning, the National Hurricane Center out of Miami Florida has issued the following graphic as their projected path:
Note that one should not follow the line, but instead the entire cone. As most of you know Hurricane projection is extremely difficult and sometimes inaccurate. Anywhere from The Yucatan Peninsula to the West Coast of Florida should remain on guard. Hurricane Gustav looks like a possible Major Hurricane which may make landfall sometime early to midweek next week.
The Current Projected track has it coming onshore around the New Orleans area, which certainly would be a nightmare, as well as ironic considering we are just 4 days away from the 3 year anniversary of Hurricane Katrina’s landfall. Of course we are close to a week away from any US landfall most likely, so that track is bound to change time and time again. Currently Gustav poses a significant threat to the countries of Haiti, Cuba, and Jamaica. Stay tuned to our site as well as the National Hurricane Centers site for updates throughout the week. Have a safe week, and don’t let your guard down if you are in the current cones from the NHC’s projected path.
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August 28th Gustav Update:
Just wanted to give a quick update. As of noon today there have been 51 reported deaths, all in Haiti from Tropical Storm Gustav. The National Hurricane Center is now calling for a Category 3 Hurricane to hit the middle Gulf coast sometime Tuesday. The projected path currently takes it just west of New Orleans. I will have further updates as they come. The 3 Day cone about from the NHC’s track will be updated every 3 hours with the latest track and information.
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August 26th, 2008 at 1:55 pm
Hurricane Gustav promises to be a cane for the ages I am afraid. If the current projected track from the hurricane center verifies then New Orleans may be in for a world of hurt. I’m keeping my fingers crossed that I am dead wrong on this.
August 26th, 2008 at 5:27 pm
For people living in mobile homes, these storms can be a nightmare come true. If a person has a fairly sturdy house, and it is on fairly high ground, it possibly is not too bad, but those on the coast and and/or low land, or someone in a mobile home, it is not too good.
Someone with no pets or children, can usually find some shelter somewhere, but those with pets, those with children, or care-givers of elderly parents, it can be rough.
August 26th, 2008 at 8:30 pm
Oh geez, not another one! I live where Rita hit (FYI, Rita was worse than Katrina, even caused more damage…yet it was hardly publicized) by the Gulf in southeast Louisiana…it’s brick but not high off the ground…it floods very easily here! I’m really hoping it steers clear of us, we’ve just gotten back on our feet!!!!
August 28th, 2008 at 10:15 am
[…] Hurricane Gustav Projected Path […]
August 28th, 2008 at 1:34 pm
Rita was not worse than Katrina! Katrina caused way more damage and killed way more people!
August 28th, 2008 at 3:40 pm
As far as the severity of the storm itself, Rita was in fact worse than Katrina. Many factors contributed to the devastation brought on by Katrina including the state of the levees designed to hold back the storm surge and the extremely low lying position of New Orleans. As far as causing “way more damage” that question might still be up in the air. New Orleans and the surrounding areas are on the rise again even though many parts of Louisiana are still in the rebuilding process due to Katrina. Meanwhile, run a quick search for Hackberry and Cameron, LA post Rita. Both towns were completely obliterated by Rita. I don’t mean they got some flooding and people drowned. I mean what was left of the few houses that were still recognizable was found three to four foundations away from it’s original lot. That being said, despite the lack of coverage for one and the notoriety of the other, it’s senseless to sit here and try to debate which was worse. Both were disasters and I pray that anyone else posting on here never has to experience it beyond watching the footage on CNN.
August 28th, 2008 at 4:10 pm
OMFG Katrina was wayyyy worse i was in texas for rita and it didnt even rain!! it looked like it but i didnt sooo tht is yy itss not publicized!!!** ur house may hav flouded thte 1st floor our houses here flooded…. the water was up to the roofs and pppl died in their atics cuz the drowned b.c. they coulednt get out fast enough. my aunt hasn’t even finshed rebuilding her house yet!! She almost is tho! Hopefully around x-mas!! we had to demolish her house.. and start from scratch… u had to probably only redo ur bottom floor… ohh and p.s. New Orleans isn’t even on it’s feet yet… so now do u still think rita was wayyy worse?!?! think avout it !!…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………..NOPE IT WASN”T
August 28th, 2008 at 6:02 pm
The Paths of both Rita and Katrina were so entirely different. Hurricane Rita hit a less vulnerable area while Hurricane Katrina hit the worst possible area it could. Any projected track taking Gustav up the Miss Delta will be terrible. Lets pray for the projection to change.
August 28th, 2008 at 7:29 pm
God please let it hit Houston. I’ve lived In Alvin (30 miles south of H-Town) for almost two years and we have gotten nothing! Alvin needs some excitement!!!
August 28th, 2008 at 10:33 pm
Rita did a lot of damage, and was not publicized to the extent that Katrina was.
My cousin lived in a house that was totaled by Rita, and has not been able to rebuild, as he did not have flood insurance. I think that the government response for Katrina was much better, as Rita did not receive the kind of publicity that Katrina did. - A.J. (Pensacola, FL)
August 29th, 2008 at 4:48 am
Hit Houston? I’m sorry, but who wants a hurricane to hit them? I live in Highlands, about seven miles east of the Houston city limits and I do NOT want Gustav, Hanna or any other system to hit here! Allison was horrible enough and I still have nightmares about the evacuation for Rita. It took 20 hours to make what was usually a 45 minute drive. My kid had to pee in cups inside the vehicle. It was total chaos and just plain miserable. After all was said and done, we spent $2000 on supplies, gas and reservations we never made it to. Damage sustained at our house by Rita..two lost roof shingles and a broken sun flower! Gustav Go away and Hell no to Hanna!
August 29th, 2008 at 8:36 am
Normally I don’t respond to posts that don’t bother to check their facts or lack thereof at the door but I feel the need to correct a few discrepancies with your post. From your post I can surmise that perhaps you were an evacuee from NOLA who was placed somewhere in the Houston area. If that’s where you were located when Rita hit then I can understand why you thought the storm didn’t even scratch the surface of Katrina. The greater Houston area was barely touched by Rita. Meanwhile, SE Texas and SW Louisiana did in fact get pummeled by Rita. “It didn’t even rain”…? I’m not even going to qualify that statement with an attempt at an argument no matter how much fun it would be to have you stuttering and sputtering in front of your computer trying to come up with some teenie bopper wikipedia facts to support your ignorance. I reiterate from my original post, BOTH hurricanes were horrible. BOTH hurricanes went on record as two of the top six Atlantic hurricanes to hit the United States. I would hate to see ANYONE have to go through the process of picking up the pieces after a storm like that again even though science tells us that it’s going to happen again and it’s more than likely only going to get worse. Anything beyond that is just mental masturbation on everyone’s part. “My hurricane was worse that your hurricane!” Seriously? Weak.
August 29th, 2008 at 11:01 am
Love it Tim! You said exactly what I wanted to say.
Taylor,
Rita devastated MANY towns throughout SETX AND SWLA. She completely wiped a few towns off the map and displaced thousands. My MIL & FIL live in a small town on the TX/LA border just about 7 miles east of the Sabine river. We saw the devastation first hand as you did with Katrina and it was nothing that I would wish upon anyone. However, there was a statement made by a Red Cross aide that I will never forget. She told us that she was in total awe over the difference in the attitudes of the small town people and the NOLA people. She said that when she arrived in East TX, she expected to see most roads blocked with debris and impassable. However, the “hicks” that so many people refer to when speaking of East Texas, returned home ASAP, rolled their sleeves up and took on the task of cleaning up their communities instead of waiting for the government to do it for them. Sure they still needed government help, but they didn’t WAIT for the government to begin but once the government DID show up, these small communities helped the National Guard instead of standing in line for hand outs and watching them.
Katrina would not have had nearly the impact on NOLA as she did, had the levees not failed. It’s people like you who give the Katrina evacuees a bad name.
August 29th, 2008 at 5:34 pm
I live in Louisiana and I remember Rita. It was much worse than Katrina, it just so happend that Katrina came a little bit earlier and destroyed the levees so it got more publicity. If Katrina never happend Rita would have knocked out the levees easily. Rita caused damage even in northern parts of the state. It was a nightmare I’ll never forget.
August 30th, 2008 at 12:51 am
My sister, brother-in-law, nieces, and nephews live in the Beaumont and Port Arthur area and were hit by Rita. While both Rita and Katrina did their damage, we should not be arguing about which did more or was worse. Instead we should all be praying and hoping that everyone who lives in the path of these incoming storms stays safe and unharmed. People’s lives were lost and are at stake now and all some of you can do is debate over who got hit harder! I for one am praying for the safety of my loved ones and everyone else in it’s path.
August 30th, 2008 at 9:46 am
Interesting discussion of the affects of Katrina and Rita on people and places in the path. However, most of the opinions and perceptions are highly subjective and don’t accurately reflect the facts. Tim, although you purport to report the “facts”, the facts you present are highly misleading. It is true as you say that Katrina and Rita were in the top six as far as lowest recorded central pressures. However these low pressure levels were recorded well before the storms made landfall when the storms were far offshore. At the time they made landfall only Katrina was ranked in the top 15 (3). Additionally, although there is a good correlation between lower pressure and higher wind speeds it is not absolute and direct. In fact although Katrina had the third lowest recorded pressure on record at time of landfall, because of its large size and structural deterioration that took place prior to landfall, it made landfall as a Category 3 with wind speeds of 130 mph. Based on wind speed at time of landfall neither Katrina nor Rita make it into the top 20. So its important to recognize that while both hurricanes were highly destructive due to the locations of landfall and the development in those areas, it can be much worse. If a true Cat 4 or Cat 5 makes landfall in those same areas the damage will be exponentially higher. Take heed with Gustav approaching.
August 30th, 2008 at 10:54 am
Although I do feel that Gustav’s projected track will bring hurricane conditions into the New orleans area, I don’t think it will be nearly as bad as the path that Hurricane Katrina followed. Remembers that Tropical systems are very unreliable, and a projected path, like that of Gustav today could be totally different tommorrow. Stay tuned to the national hurricane center.
August 30th, 2008 at 11:08 am
Impossible to pinpoint exact landfall 3 days in advance. A slight change in direction can have a huge difference on the impact. But it certainly bears watching if you’re near the coast in La. or East Tx.
August 30th, 2008 at 4:54 pm
I live not far from New Orleans and it’s people everywhere. If the storm is coming all we can do is be prepared. Pray for us…
August 30th, 2008 at 4:59 pm
Does anyone know the latest probabilty and projected path of Gustav (like a projected timeline for the US) Also, I live in Central East OKlahoma, would this hurricane be most likely dissapated before reaching Oklahoma? Let me know what ya’all think. Thanks
August 30th, 2008 at 5:00 pm
Also, how prepared is New Orleans with this Hurricane coming? Has the state made improvements and changes to better prepare for a possible repeat like Katrina or Rita?